Chancellor Reeves faces budget row as OBR timeline contradicts deficit claims
Reeves faces budget row over deficit claims timeline

Chancellor Rachel Reeves is fighting to defend her budget decisions as a deepening political row erupts over conflicting accounts of the UK's financial position before last week's fiscal announcement.

The Budget Controversy Unfolds

The Labour chancellor has become embroiled in a damaging political dispute concerning what she disclosed to the public about Britain's economic health preceding the budget. Reeves had asserted that a downgrade in predicted UK economic productivity would complicate meeting her self-imposed fiscal rules.

During a significant speech on 4th November, she indicated that tax increases might be necessary, warning that poor productivity growth would have serious implications for public finances. Many observers interpreted this as preparing the ground to break Labour's manifesto commitment on income tax by potentially raising rates.

OBR's Contradictory Timeline

The situation intensified when the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), Britain's independent budget watchdog, revealed on Friday that it had informed the chancellor as early as 17th September that improved tax revenue from rising wages and inflation meant the projected shortfall was likely smaller than initially estimated.

More significantly, the OBR stated it had told Reeves in October that the deficit had been completely eliminated, directly contradicting the narrative presented in her November speech.

Political Fallout and Investigations

The OBR's disclosure has triggered calls from opposition figures for the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) to investigate whether the Treasury misled the public. Conservative critics have escalated the allegations by accusing Reeves of potential market abuse, which constitutes a civil offence.

Downing Street has vigorously denied that the chancellor misled the public about the nation's financial status before the budget. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Keir Starmer is expected to publicly support Reeves's budget in a speech tomorrow, where he will reportedly claim the measures will alleviate cost of living pressures and reduce inflation.

Starmer's address is also anticipated to outline plans to accelerate economic growth initiatives. The chancellor faces further scrutiny today as she prepares for broadcast interviews to address the escalating controversy.