Ukraine war briefing: Zelenskyy announces 40-day operation to 'influence aggressor state'
Zelenskyy announces 40-day operation to influence Russia

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced on Thursday that he had authorised a 40-day operation against Russian targets, aiming to “influence the aggressor state in order to press for an end to the war.” The decision followed consultations with the head of the Ukrainian security service.

Drone strikes hit Russian oil infrastructure

Ukraine’s forces struck two more Russian oil refineries in Ufa, approximately 1,500 km (930 miles) from the frontline, and an oil depot in the Krasnodar region, 300 km (180 miles) from Ukraine, Zelenskyy said on Thursday. Aleksandr Kharitonov, head of the Krasnoarmeysk district in Krasnodar Krai, confirmed that an oil depot at Poltavskaya was hit.

Norsi, Russia’s fourth-largest oil refinery and second-largest gasoline producer, suspended operations on Wednesday after a Ukrainian drone attack damaged a primary refining unit, two industry sources told Reuters. The governor of Nizhny Novgorod region confirmed the drone attack. Lukoil, which owns the refinery, did not respond to a request for comment.

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Crimea faces power and gasoline shortages

Authorities in illegally occupied Crimea will impose more power outages, the region’s Russian-appointed governor said Thursday. A day earlier, Ukrainian strikes blacked out Sevastopol, Crimea’s largest city, as the peninsula grapples with gasoline shortages that have led to a complete ban on sales to the general public. Power was fully or partially cut off across the Russian-held part of Ukraine’s Kherson region bordering Crimea, the Moscow-installed governor, Vladimir Saldo, said early on Friday. Meanwhile, the number of trains to Crimea, a popular summer destination for Russian tourists, was being cut back, Crimea’s Russia-installed governor, Sergei Aksyonov, said on Thursday.

Belarus relay stations silenced

Russian relay stations in Belarus used for attacks on Ukraine have been switched off, Zelenskyy said on Thursday, after last week warning neighbouring President Alexander Lukashenko to remove them “or we will do it.” Ukrainian intelligence confirmed the repeaters were off, but Zelenskyy noted that “along our state border, Belarus is completing the construction of road infrastructure and storage facilities for ammunition and fuel, which have no purpose other than military use. Belarus knows what steps are needed on its part for peace. The development of border infrastructure for aggression from Belarus must be stopped.”

Lukashenko on Thursday accused Ukraine of trying to drag his country into the war, while stating he “stands with Russia” and calling for a “substantive” agreement, declaring Belarus had no desire to fight Ukrainians. The Institute for the Study of War, a Washington-based thinktank, said Lukashenko is walking a fine line, “continuing to stall and deflect the Kremlin’s intensified attempts to drag Belarus into the war in Ukraine while maintaining relatively neutral rhetoric towards Ukraine.”

Civilian evacuations and military investigations

Ukrainian military officials on Wednesday ordered a mandatory evacuation for approximately 1,000 people still in the Chernihiv region bordering Russia and Belarus, starting on 1 July. Zelenskyy said Russia was moving air defences to protect key targets like Moscow from Ukrainian drones, potentially leaving other areas vulnerable. Russia was also moving air defences to protect President Vladimir Putin’s palatial residence at Valdai, about 500 km (300 miles) north-west of Moscow. The Kerch Bridge, connecting Crimea with the Russian mainland, was also being prioritised for air defence, Zelenskyy said.

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The Ukrainian army said on Thursday that Lt Col Yurii Garkavyi, commander of the 425th separate assault brigade known as Skelia, was suspended over a probe into alleged abuse of soldiers, following a media report alleging 26 non-military deaths in the regiment’s training camps over the past six months, as well as cases of abuse and torture of conscripts, citing relatives’ testimony. “From June 24, for the duration of the inspections and investigations, the regiment commander was suspended from duty,” said the Ukrainian army’s media service, adding that anyone committing criminal offences would be “held accountable in accordance with the law.” Ukraine’s state bureau of investigations said it had opened an inquiry. In a statement on Wednesday, the regiment said the Babel investigation raised “serious issues” requiring “verification,” attributing 18 of the deaths to “illnesses or poor health” among mobilised soldiers.

Russian attacks on rail and petrol stations

An air raid alert was declared for Kyiv late on Thursday night, with witnesses reporting missiles being intercepted. Earlier, Russia attacked three rail locomotives, killing one driver, and hit two petrol stations across Ukraine, officials said. One strike hit a locomotive in the north-east Sumy region, and the others including the fatal one were in Zaporizhzhia region in the south, said Oleksandr Pertsovskyi, CEO of Ukrzaliznytsia, the state rail group. Local officials said Russia also attacked petrol stations in Zaporizhzhia and Sumy.

International developments

The French navy intercepted an oil tanker in the Mediterranean suspected of being part of the “shadow fleet” shipping Russian oil in breach of sanctions. The Deliver, sailing under the flag of Cameroon, had departed from the Russian port of Primorsk, authorities said.

Ukraine’s Fire Point, maker of the Flamingo cruise missile and other airborne weapons, is accelerating plans to develop a European missile defence system after an agreement with German radar maker Hensoldt, and hopes to have its first interceptors ready by the end of the year. Fire Point, using its own FP-7X rocket as the interceptor, signed a memorandum of understanding with Hensoldt, which will provide its TRML-4D radar. Denys Shtilierman, Fire Point’s co-founder and chief designer, said it was also signing an agreement with a European defence firm for an imaging infrared (IIR) homing device for the interceptor missile, and talks were under way with another European firm for a radio frequency (RF) seeker. Fire Point is aiming over the summer to test its new FP-9 ballistic missile, capable of carrying an 800 kg warhead up to 850 km.