Nipah Virus Outbreak: Could It Trigger a Global Lockdown?
Nipah Virus: Risk of Global Lockdown Assessed

Nipah Virus Outbreak: Could It Trigger a Global Lockdown?

News of a virus outbreak often evokes memories of 2020, when the novel coronavirus sparked a years-long pandemic. Recently, India has reported an increase in confirmed cases of the rare and brain-damaging Nipah virus, prompting neighbouring countries to reintroduce health checks. With "Nipah virus" making headlines, should people in the UK be concerned? We consulted several health experts to explore the risks and implications.

What Is the Nipah Virus?

The Nipah virus is primarily found in fruit bats across South and Southeast Asia. It spreads to humans through contact with the animals' bodily fluids, such as consuming fruit or sap contaminated with bat urine or saliva. Evidence suggests it can also infect other animals, including pigs, dogs, cats, goats, horses, and sheep. First identified during a 1998 outbreak among pig farmers in Malaysia, where it killed over 100 people, the virus has since caused sporadic outbreaks in Bangladesh and India since 2001.

Dr. Kaja Abbas, an associate professor at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, explained, 'In addition to zoonotic transmission from animals such as fruit bats to humans, human-to-human transmission and transmission from contaminated fruit products (such as date palm juice) to humans also occur.' Symptoms typically develop between four and 21 days after infection, starting with flu-like signs such as fevers, body aches, and vomiting. Over time, it can progress to respiratory syndrome and encephalitis, or brain inflammation, with a fatality rate between 45% and 70%. There is currently no vaccine or cure, and about 20% of survivors experience neurological effects like seizures or personality changes, according to the World Health Organization.

Current Outbreak Locations

The first two recorded cases in the recent outbreak occurred in West Bengal, India's fourth most populous state. Health experts in India have emphasized that only two cases are confirmed, despite reports of five. The patients were two 25-year-old nurses employed at the same private hospital in Barasat, Katoya. They began feeling unwell in December, with their conditions deteriorating rapidly, leading to emergency care. While one male nurse has been discharged, the female nurse died of cardiac arrest last week.

Indian health officials are uncertain how the pair became infected but suspect they may have consumed date palm sap while visiting the village of Ghughragachhi. Additionally, the World Health Organization reported last week that a woman in Rajshahi, Bangladesh, died from the virus. In both countries, WHO has stressed that the risk of human-to-human transmission remains very low. Neighbouring countries like Thailand, Nepal, Taiwan, and Pakistan are now monitoring passengers for Nipah symptoms as a precautionary measure.

Could Nipah Virus Lead to a Global Lockdown?

There is no need to stock up on toilet roll just yet—the Nipah virus has never been reported in the UK. Professor Jones, a virology expert at the University of Reading, highlighted that the Nipah virus differs significantly from the coronavirus. He stated, 'Following Covid, any new virus is treated with alarm—could it become pandemic?—but for Nipah this cannot happen as the virus does not transmit by air and has never shown any sign of doing so.' WHO classifies Nipah as a potential epidemic candidate, meaning it could cause regional outbreaks, but a pandemic, which spreads worldwide, is unlikely due to its transmission methods.

UK Guidance on Nipah Virus

The UK Health Security Agency provides guidance on the Nipah virus, emphasizing that there is no cause for panic. No cases have been recorded in the UK, and the Foreign Office's travel advice for India does not mention the virus. For travellers, the UKHSA recommends the following precautions:

  • Avoid contact with bats and their environments, especially sick bats.
  • Do not consume raw or partially fermented date palm sap—always boil date palm juice first.
  • Wash all fruit thoroughly with clean water and peel before eating.
  • Wear protective clothing and gloves when handling sick animals and during slaughter and culling procedures.
  • Practice good hand hygiene regularly.

The agency stresses that the risk for tourists visiting endemic countries is 'very low' if these safety recommendations are followed. Understanding the virus and taking preventive measures can help mitigate any potential threats without undue alarm.