Regulated train fares in England could rise by more than 4% next year, according to new inflation figures. The Office for National Statistics announced that the Retail Prices Index (RPI) inflation rose to 3.2% in July, which is used as the basis for calculating annual fare increases.
While the Government has not yet confirmed its decision on fare rises for 2027, last year's increase was capped at 4.6%, which was one percentage point above the RPI in July 2024. If the same formula is applied, train travel costs would jump by 4.2%.
Season ticket holders face significant increases
This potential rise would mean an annual season ticket from Brighton to London would increase by £219, bringing the total cost to £5,423. A flexi ticket for travel two days per week over a year from Leeds to Manchester would go up by £151.35, reaching £3,754.95.
Sir Keir Starmer's government froze regulated fares this year, providing temporary relief to commuters. However, the new figures suggest that relief may be short-lived.
Scope of regulated fares
Approximately 45% of fares on Britain's railways are regulated by the Westminster, Scottish and Welsh governments. These include season tickets on most commuter journeys, some off-peak return tickets on long-distance routes, and flexible tickets for travel around major cities.
Unregulated fares are set by operators, but increases in these are expected to be similar to the regulated ones.
Government response awaited
The Department for Transport has been approached for comment on the potential fare rise. Commuters and passenger groups will be watching closely for the Government's decision, which will have a direct impact on household budgets and travel costs across the country.
