Australia and Paraguay are set for a decisive final group match, with both teams level on three points in Group D. France has already secured the top spot after winning their first two games, leaving the other three teams to battle for the remaining knockout stage berth.
Current standings and scenarios
France leads the group with six points, followed by Australia and Paraguay with three points each, and Denmark with zero points. The Socceroos face Denmark, while Paraguay take on France in the final round of group matches. A win for either Australia or Paraguay would guarantee their place in the round of 16, provided the other result does not produce a superior goal difference.
If both Australia and Paraguay win, goal difference will decide who advances. Currently, Australia has a goal difference of +1, while Paraguay sits at -1. A draw for either team would require the other match to end in a loss or a favorable goal difference swing.
Australia's path
The Socceroos, led by coach Graham Arnold, have impressed with a 2-1 win over Denmark and a narrow 1-0 loss to France. A victory against Denmark would put them through, while a draw could still see them advance if Paraguay loses to France. “We control our own destiny,” Arnold said. “The boys are focused and ready for the challenge.”
Paraguay's chances
Paraguay, under manager Guillermo Barros Schelotto, bounced back from an opening 2-0 defeat to France with a 2-1 win over Denmark. They face a tough test against a French side that may rotate players. A win against France would almost certainly secure qualification, while a draw would require Australia to lose to Denmark.
Denmark's slim hopes
Denmark, despite two losses, still have a mathematical chance. They must beat Australia and hope France defeats Paraguay, while also overturning a goal difference deficit of -2 compared to Australia. It is a long shot, but the Danes have shown resilience in past tournaments.
All matches kick off simultaneously at 4 p.m. local time on Tuesday to ensure fairness. The group winners and runners-up will advance to the round of 16, with France already assured of top spot regardless of the result against Paraguay.
