The old cliché that the Premier League is a marathon, not a sprint, no longer applies. In 2025-26, after 33 games, Arsenal and Manchester City are tied on points and goal difference, with City leading on goals scored. Both teams can only reach a maximum of 85 points, far below recent champions' totals. The title race has effectively become a mini-league over the final five matches.
Historical Precedents
Both clubs have won titles by the slimmest of margins. Manchester City beat Manchester United on goal difference in 2011-12, while Arsenal edged Liverpool on goals scored in 1988-89. This season could see the first extended goal-difference shootout in English top-flight history if both teams win all remaining games.
The Run-In
Both sides face tough away fixtures, making it likely one will drop points. However, if they win all five, the title will be decided by goals scored—a scenario never seen before. Managers must balance chasing wins with avoiding complacency, as ignoring goal difference could prove costly.
Arsenal's immediate task is to beat Newcastle at the Emirates to maintain control of their destiny after two consecutive defeats. A slip-up could shift the metaphor from a sprint to a horse race.
Kick-off is at 5:30 PM BST.
