Michael Carrick, the calm interim manager of Manchester United, is edging closer to becoming the seventh permanent leader in the post-Sir Alex Ferguson era. To use a cliché, the job is certifiably his to lose.
Impressive Run Under Carrick
Since taking over in early January, Carrick has lifted United from seventh to third place, securing 26 points from 12 matches—the highest in the division during that period. With two wins from their final five games, they will likely secure a Champions League berth, thanks to a superior goal difference. Defeating Brentford on Monday would all but seal the deal.
Financial Implications
Entry into Europe's top-tier competition brings a substantial financial windfall, pleasing owners the Glazers and Sir Jim Ratcliffe. Carrick's primary task was to achieve this, and he is on the verge of success.
The Lingering Question
However, a nagging question remains for Jason Wilcox and the director of football: how will Carrick handle a crisis? Both mini and full-blown crises are inevitable at United, and his suitability will be tested. Wilcox faces a classic dilemma: if he appoints Carrick and the team falters, criticism will follow; if he doesn't, he may lose a promising manager.
Small Sample Size
Carrick's 17 matches (plus three from a previous caretaker spell) represent only half a season—a minuscule sample size. The great unknown is how he will face a sustained dip in form. If United loses a few opening games next season, Carrick's inexperience will be scrutinized.
Precedent and Concerns
The precedent of Ole Gunnar Solskjær, who thrived as caretaker but struggled as permanent manager, looms large. Carrick dismisses comparisons, stating they are irrelevant. Yet, questions persist: can he adapt tactically? Can he inspire players during a slump? The 2-1 loss to Leeds, where he delayed substitutions, and the flat 1-0 win at Chelsea raise doubts.
Conclusion
Since Ferguson's departure, United has tried Moyes, Van Gaal, Mourinho, Solskjær, Ten Hag, and Amorim—all failed. Ideally, top-class managers like Luis Enrique or Thomas Tuchel would be recruited, but United rarely goes for the best. Wilcox must believe Carrick can become elite; otherwise, hiring him would be pointless.
