Secret documents from the New South Wales government have revealed that Port Kembla, located 75 kilometers south of Sydney, is the preferred east coast location for Australia's proposed nuclear submarine fleet. The documents, prepared by the NSW cabinet office and premier's department, were tabled in parliament under an order from Greens MLC Abigail Boyd. They warn that the base could become a target for military adversaries and is likely to face fierce opposition from local residents concerned about nuclear risks.
Residents' Concerns and Risk Perception
The documents state that residents perceive the east coast nuclear base as a source of risk due to the presence of nuclear reactors on submarines and the potential for the base to be a military target. They compare public perception to that of a nuclear power station, highlighting fears of environmental disaster. In September, over 40 organizations signed the Port Kembla Declaration opposing the base, arguing it would endanger the community.
Federal Government Plans
The federal government announced in March 2022 its intention to build an east coast nuclear base as part of the Aukus agreement with the UK and US. While proposed submarines are initially slated for South Australia and Western Australia from 2032, an east coast base is deemed vital for strategic interests. The NSW documents indicate the commonwealth committed to deciding the location by the end of 2023, with the base operational by 2040.
Economic Benefits vs. Local Impact
A preliminary cost-benefit analysis by NSW officials identified Port Kembla as the best site, estimating an economic benefit of $426 million through improved infrastructure and high-tech jobs. However, the documents concede that some residents may need to relocate, local businesses could suffer, and rail and road travel may worsen. The base is expected to be at least twice the size of Western Sydney International Airport, with over $10 billion needed for facilities.
Nuclear Accident Probability
The documents assess the risk of a nuclear accident, noting that submarines are only occasionally at port, reducing accident probability. However, the base is more likely to be a military target. They contrast the risk with nuclear power plants, stating submarine reactors are smaller but use highly enriched uranium similar to warheads, storing enough for over 30 years of operation.
Political Reactions
Greens Senator David Shoebridge criticized the plans, arguing the base makes Australia a target and does not enhance safety. He accused the Labor government of putting a target on the densely populated region between Newcastle and Illawarra. The Guardian has sought comments from the NSW premier's office and the federal Department of Defence.
