As the Premier League pauses for the festive period, a fascinating alternative reality has emerged. An exclusive analysis reveals how the standings would look on Christmas Day if Video Assistant Referee (VAR) technology had never been used this season.
The VAR Effect: Points Deducted and Added
The study, which recalculates the table by adjusting points based on goals given or ruled out by VAR, including penalties awarded by the system, shows some startling changes. While the title race remains fiercely competitive, the fortunes of several London clubs are significantly altered in this hypothetical scenario.
Most notably, the data indicates that Wolverhampton Wanderers would be in an even more dire position. They are projected to have a mere two points without the intervention of VAR, solidifying their place at the foot of the table. Meanwhile, Burnley would have gained one additional point, taking their total to 12 points.
London Clubs Face Mixed Fortunes
The recalculated table holds particular interest for the capital's teams. West Ham United's position is shown to be unchanged, remaining on 13 points without VAR. This comes as they prepare for a London derby against Fulham this weekend.
Elsewhere, Nottingham Forest's tally is also unaffected in this model, staying at 18 points. The analysis provides a unique talking point as the league enters a crucial period, with the title race, top-four battle, and European qualification all hanging in the balance.
A Festive Fixture Frenzy Awaits
This theoretical exercise is published as the real Premier League action is set to resume. League leaders Arsenal, who top the actual table on Christmas Day, host Brighton & Hove Albion on Sunday. Their title rivals Manchester City face Nottingham Forest earlier in the day.
In another key match, Chelsea take on Aston Villa at Stamford Bridge, aiming to keep their Champions League qualification hopes alive. The weekend also features a second London derby, with Crystal Palace welcoming Tottenham Hotspur to Selhurst Park.
While the VAR debate continues to rage among fans, pundits, and managers, this analysis offers a clear, numerical insight into its tangible impact on the league season so far. It underscores how pivotal moments reviewed by the technology have directly translated into precious points, shaping the narrative of the campaign as we head into the new year.
